Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 66.923737 75.681003 84.642948 94.467199 104.902006 115.624779 127.446606
2025-10-26 53.102581 65.605628 78.994718 94.262885 111.063520 128.871233 149.060982
2025-11-02 45.168300 59.733123 75.865876 94.780575 116.092374 139.135356 165.716185
2025-11-09 38.323740 54.149096 72.247019 94.004485 119.029345 146.544291 178.737213
2025-11-16 33.322327 50.102624 69.861694 94.144507 122.566362 154.252138 191.752734
2025-11-23 28.592901 45.878458 66.847347 93.177781 124.512065 159.896368 202.213789
2025-11-30 25.654174 43.596140 65.926746 94.473090 128.903407 168.181568 215.539666
2025-12-07 23.234877 41.743669 65.345940 96.016525 133.456181 176.551608 228.880772
2025-12-14 20.078662 38.594588 62.894924 95.070787 134.879355 181.154847 237.778014
2025-12-21 16.963853 35.190943 59.878526 93.220942 135.047075 184.153760 244.702135
2025-12-28 16.147878 35.043534 61.106709 96.699180 141.687628 194.791749 260.537147
2026-01-04 14.869896 34.076402 61.145291 98.587404 146.323588 203.012959 273.518124
2026-01-11 12.859232 31.805009 59.303145 97.988634 147.865072 207.556849 282.227427
2026-01-18 11.077931 29.706951 57.574314 97.442790 149.405354 212.056167 290.859073
2026-01-25 9.806770 28.315591 56.754166 98.029175 152.317693 218.176200 301.387739
2026-02-01 8.314936 26.348164 54.973467 97.227974 153.392120 222.004097 309.136347
2026-02-08 7.212469 24.944856 53.937373 97.372461 155.629311 227.221056 318.526695
2026-02-15 5.988937 23.119233 52.145426 96.386884 156.339483 230.509054 325.555086
2026-02-22 5.357840 22.406885 52.028073 97.707070 160.033768 237.480618 337.036788
2026-03-01 4.832240 21.844601 52.107852 99.279880 164.044459 244.839149 348.988735
2026-03-08 3.929613 20.264391 50.456642 98.316163 164.656978 247.919073 355.704271
2026-03-15 3.012187 18.411311 48.230416 96.430920 163.975614 249.324682 360.332729
2026-03-22 2.944130 18.757518 49.714066 99.975467 170.579845 259.929229 376.260953